The Certainty of Uncertainty

 
One thing in life we can be certain of is uncertainty.
 

The complexity of life means that we can be certain, regardless of how advanced our technology becomes, uncertainty will always remain.

From predicting the weather to sharemarkets to sports results, we can estimate based on patterns and probabilities – without ever being entirely sure.

Not convinced?

In other words, are you feeling uncertain about uncertainty? Look past the hype of emerging superintelligence (while being clear it is a very powerful tool with natural limitations) and observe the beauty and nature of life more closely.

Run a thought experiment by observing birds in flight.

Whether it’s just two birds flying together or an entire flock in formation, select one bird and try to predict with certainty the exact path it will take in relation to the others. Whether you’re doing it by eye or with your AI-assisted smartglasses, you’ll find complete accuracy is impossible.

Of that, I am certain.

Now scale that complexity of interactions up to the entire dynamics of your market – or down to the complexity of your body’s atoms – and we realise how many interconnected aspects of life remain beyond the limits of calculation and precise determination.

Technology advances will continue to make many things more controllable. More certain.

The natural dynamics and complexity of life will always make many things unknowable. Less certain.

With the wonder and power of your life and work being found in the space between.

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