5 Leadership Trends Shaping 2024

The future isn’t as unclear as it might first seem. Pause, zoom out and gain a fresh perspective on changes you’ve most likely already observed – but possibly not yet connected…

Leadership depends on visionary clarity combined with influential communication. Seeing what others don’t yet, then inspiring them forward into the unknown. As a result, leading the development of leadership doubles this challenge exponentially. Seeing into your own future while guiding other leaders forward alongside you.

Looking to the year ahead and beyond, five significant trends are now shaping the future of leadership:

1. Environmental Adaptation

Zooming out to a systems perspective shows us a megatrend connection between a range of seemingly disparate trends – including energy generation and distribution, hybrid working and return-to-office mandates, neural networks and generative artificial intelligence. The way we connect as a society, with each other and our environment, has changed significantly over the past five years (IMF/OECD/Worldbank, 2023). With cultural shifts and technological advances having created a modern workplace environment that is now both more connected and more distributed at the same time.

The Digital Revolution began more than five decades ago. We have now reached an Ecological Revolution. Which requires considering atoms as much as bits – from the environmental energy demands of AI to the personal energy impacts of commuting workforces. These profound shifts require an adaptive leadership style. Becoming more than agile. Not just responding to the unpredictable but leading ourselves and others to evolve and adapt, to ensure intergenerational success.

2. Integrated Thinking

Today’s leaders are required to make data-driven analytical decisions based on the facts. In parallel they are also expected to have the emotional intelligence to flex their opinion, based on diverse perspectives and complex unintended consequences. Often this requires navigating competing dynamics – for example research shows 41% of HR leaders think innovation has worsened due to hybrid work, yet organisations that offer radical flexibility have 40% more high-performing employees compared to workplaces that don’t (Gartner, 2023).

Meanwhile organisations are looking to their leaders to be astute critical thinkers, while also expecting them to keep up with the times and develop creative capabilities such as design thinking. So which are more important – logical or emotional competencies? It is no longer an ‘either-or’ question. It has become an ‘and’ expectation. With modern leaders requiring the ability to integrate complex and at times competing thoughts – then communicate a clear and simple direction to their teams, without distorting the underlying meaning.

3. Systems Evolution

Ironically, change is nothing new. While navigating systemic change is a significant trend for the year ahead, the past few years have given many leaders a strong foundation to build on. The shift now is to reframe this change away from disruption and transformation, to a deeper more organic understanding of the nature of change. ‘Disruption’ implies change arrives unexpectedly, leaving the status quo in a state of chaos. While ‘transformation’ suggests that change has a natural endpoint.

This framing may make sense for earlier initiatives, however looking ahead a more systemic understanding of change will require broader leadership perspectives. For example research indicates that organisations with the highest returns from AI are nearly 200% more likely than others to utilise a variety of capability-building programs to develop their people (McKinsey, 2023). With a focus on developing people, not simply replacing them. This systems evolution isn’t led by industry disruption and workforce transformation – concepts that can create fear and unease, rather than understanding and application – but is better approached collaboratively as a people-led improvement of existing systems and processes.

4. Connected Wellbeing

In recent years, caring for workers’ wellbeing has evolved from a fringe initiative to a core leadership concern across many organisations. While in times past, workforces were viewed by many as an almost mechanistic component – a human resource – modern leaders understand that we are all part of a connected ecological system. With complex factors from information overload to global conflicts impacting on the wellbeing and resulting performance of their people.

As a new study suggests that over 80% of the current generation of corporate wellbeing initiatives may be having little to no effect (Industrial Relations Journal, 2024) a shift in approach is gradually taking place. Rather than being provided as additional offerings – dealing with the symptoms rather than the cause – a deeper understanding of wellbeing and the human condition is becoming more central to operating models. With supplementary offerings from stress management classes to mindfulness apps now being more fundamentally supported by the redesign of core working beliefs and practices.

5. Purposeful Unification

The nature of progress can be that some of humanity’s greatest challenges arise from some of our most impactful inventions. From the way we fuel our travel to the way we connect with each other, innovations designed to bring us closer together can also divide us. Add machine algorithms and distributed workforces into the mix, it’s not difficult to see why workplaces and the communities they serve are in many ways becoming more divided (World Economic Forum, 2024).

Organisations have a vital role to play in overcoming the negative effects of this division. With leaders requiring the adaptive intelligence to navigate the blurry line between embracing diversity and individuality, while unifying and aligning the collective effort of their teams. In a world of change, a clear inspiring purpose provides a unifying foundation. Connecting each individual with why their efforts matter – collectively and within the wider context of their own life. Looking to the future in a distributed environment, organisational purpose no longer lives centrally but needs to be individually mobilised within the hearts and minds across the organisation.

Team Vision

Ultimately leadership depends on us all.

Every leader is also a follower in aspects of their work and life. And no one can follow, without also leading themselves.

Remember, trends do not create the future.

You do.

While trends give us an insight into the direction of travel, how you choose to leverage this knowledge is up to you. In some cases the trends might align with your personal values and leadership strategy – meaning the trends will support and accelerate your progress.

In other areas you might see the future differently. In which case the trends create new opportunities to take a different approach.

Leading into the future, today.

References:

  1. IMF/OECD/World Bank. ‘4th Joint Conference on Structural Reforms’ (2023).

  2. Gartner. ‘9 Ways to Manage Hybrid Employees for Better Productivity’ (2023).

  3. McKinsey & Company. ‘State of Organizations’ (2023).

  4. Industrial Relations Journal. ‘Employee well-being outcomes from individual-level mental health interventions’ (2024).

  5. World Economic Forum. ‘Global Risks Report’ (2024).

Inspire

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As a Futurist living on the edge of the world, Dave Wild has presented on stages and screens across the globe from San Francisco to South Auckland to Sydney.

Shift

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Facilitation is a complex process. In a changing world it’s only getting more complex. Fortunately it’s the complexity of facilitating that inspires the way we work.

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Adaptive. Digital. Collaborative. Diverse. Inclusive. If you look at the critical shifts happening within modern workplaces, they’re designed to enable organisations to become more responsive.


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